Oct
1
The New Science of Causation
“Statistics has no mathematical way to express the notion ‘mud does not cause rain’. It can say mud is correlated with rain (i.e. that there’s a high probability of seeing mud if you see rain), no problem, but expressing the simple causal concept — the kind of thing any five-year-old would know — is impossible.”
I need to re-read this properly as it’s a bit heavy-going for the end of a long day. But fascinating, even to my fatigued brain.
(via Instapaper)